Supporting the Vikings at home against the Packers in the first week

We are two days away from the start of the NFL with the opening game Thursday night scheduled between buffalo bills And Super Bowl champions Los Angeles rams. There have been a lot of changes in this off season with many teams, either with coaching or quarterbacks. Of the 32 teams in the league, 20 have seen a change of personnel with a new coach, offensive coordinator or defensive coordinator. Seven teams have a new coach in all three positions, including Minnesota Vikings. Mike Zimmer may be gone, but there is likely to be one constant that can be used for betting purposes this season… the local Minnesota record.

Vikings success at home

Since 2016, Minnesota has a 32-17 (65%) home win/loss record. This is the second best home record in the NFC North, behind Green Bay Packersand the seventh-best NFL home record during that period. Now, let’s eliminate the 2020 season due to the pandemic. The Vikings have a 29-12 (70.7%) win/loss record, including a 25-15-1 ATS record. The trend that piqued my interest the most: Vikings are 7-2 ATS as underdogs in the house.

Minnesota is expected to be an underdog at home in three games, including week one against Aaron Rogers’ offensive, minus Davant Adams (Now with the raiders). The other two games the Vikings are expected to be the underdogs at home are Week 11 against the Cowboys and Week 15 against the team. ponies.

Why do you keep supporting the Vikings at home

Mike Zimmer is gone. Being a sports bettor who supports the Vikings with a defensive-minded head coach who calls the plays is probably one of the most tilting things you can do as a bettor during an NFL season. Choose to play hasty, play not to lose rather than play to win when you have an attack duo with cousins ​​and Justin Jefferson It was less than perfect. Jefferson had 88 catches for 1,400 yards and scored seven touchdowns in 16 games during the junior season in 2020. Then he followed that up with 1,616 yards and 10 touchdowns last year. He’s had great seasons in a row despite having Zimmer as head coach. Now, the Vikings will have a Rams-style offense with Kevin O’Connell (former Rams offensive coordinator) and OC Wes Phillips (former Rams TE coach).

The playbook will open. to move from Matthew Stafford And the cooper cup Even now Cousins ​​and Jefferson, there is the potential for a high ceiling with this offense. I will look forward to more receiving yards and the longest receiving to Jefferson more often.

With Cousins’ capable quarterback, new coach and offensive coordinator, Jefferson has a shot at 2,000 yards. The schedule won’t be easy as the Vikings offense is expected to play one of the toughest schedules to oppose pass defenses (second hardest), but with new bits in Personnel, it’s not beyond the realm of possibilities.

Vikings support +1.5 in the first week against the Packers

Now, here we are in the first week. Vikings play at home. The Vikings play at home as underdogs on their own land. Shot away? Shoot away. In the past three seasons, the Packers have been 15-10 ATS as the away team, 7-7 ATS as the away favorite. Rodgers no longer has Adams, who torched Zimmer and his defense for years. Adams has played eight games against the Vikings in his last four.

There are certainly some question marks with Minnesota in a position of offense and defense, but now is as good a time as ever to support a team (+1.5) with a great home record, and play at home against a team that doesn’t. He travels well and is now without a major part of his crime.